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title: Canadian Investment Review
url: http://www.investmentreview.com/
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site_name: Canadian Investment Review
description: Markets aren’t a-political – at least not in the United States. A new study by academics from the University of Chicago Booth School of Business have looked at the link between political parties in the U.S. and stock market returns – and they’ve used those patterns to develop a model that can predict which party will generate faster economic growth at any given time. The paper, called "Political Cycles and Stock Returns," starts first looks at historic stock market returns observing that they are much higher under Democratic presidents than under Republican presidents: From 1927 to 2015, the average excess market return under Democratic presidents is 10.7% per year, whereas under Republican presidents it is only -0.2% per year. The difference, almost 11% per year, is highly significant both economically and statistically. This phenomenon has been dubbed “presidential puzzle.” The question is, why does this happen? The authors of the paper suggest that the outcomes depend on the time

• <H2> U.S. Presidents and Stock Returns
• <H2> Watch out for the Chinese Whale
• <H2> How Do Canadian Pension Plans Feel About Investing at Home?
• <H2> ESG: What Should Plan Sponsors Expect?
• <H2> Trump’s Tax Reforms Could Mean Trouble For Stocks
• <H2> Short-Term Waves, Long-Term Tides

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